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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fukushima United vs Mito Hollyhock 100,000 times. Mito Hollyhock won 62,433 of them (62.4%), the draw came up 20.4% of the time and Fukushima United won 17.2%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.2%), and both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.
Full time 0-7. Before kick-off the simulations had Mito Hollyhock winning 62.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Fukushima United win | 17.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.4% |
| Mito Hollyhock win | 62.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 0.97 – 2.06 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Fukushima United score first | 27% |
| Mito Hollyhock score first | 68.3% |
| Fukushima United clean sheet | 13.1% |
| Mito Hollyhock clean sheet | 38.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711466 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mito Hollyhock are favourites. They win 62.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.4% for the draw and 17.2% for Fukushima United. Including the draw, Mito Hollyhock avoid defeat 82.8% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. Fukushima United keep a clean sheet 13.1% of the time and Mito Hollyhock 38.2%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 0.97 for Fukushima United and 2.06 for Mito Hollyhock. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.1% and over 3.5 goals 36%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.