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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Furia Azul vs Atlético Valladolid 100,000 times. Atlético Valladolid won 49,436 of them (49.4%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Furia Azul won 26.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Atlético Valladolid win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Atlético Valladolid winning 49.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Furia Azul win | 26.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Atlético Valladolid win | 49.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.89 |
| Both teams to score | 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.4% |
| Furia Azul score first | 36.6% |
| Atlético Valladolid score first | 58.3% |
| Furia Azul clean sheet | 15.5% |
| Atlético Valladolid clean sheet | 26.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420691961 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Valladolid are favourites. They win 49.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 26.6% for Furia Azul. Including the draw, Atlético Valladolid avoid defeat 73.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Atlético Valladolid win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.9% of simulations. Furia Azul keep a clean sheet 15.5% of the time and Atlético Valladolid 26.5%.
The simulations average 3.23 goals: 1.34 for Furia Azul and 1.89 for Atlético Valladolid. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.4% and over 3.5 goals 40.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.