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Ireland Premier Division · 100,000 simulations

Galway United vs St Patrick's prediction

We simulated Galway United vs St Patrick's 100,000 times. St Patrick's won 56,704 of them (56.7%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Galway United won 19.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest St Patrick's win is 0-1 (10.4%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.

Galway United badge
Galway United Eamonn Deacy Park
0–0 Full time
St Patrick's badge
St Patrick's Away
19.4% 19,438 wins
23.9% Draw
56.7% 56,704 wins
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.84
Likeliest score
1-1 11.2% Top St Patrick's win: 0-1 10.4%
Both score
52.8%
Over 2.5
53.4%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.9% and gave this exact score 6.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Kevin O'Sullivan Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Galway United vs St Patrick's live score, stats & lineups

Galway United vs St Patrick's in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ireland Premier Division · Friday 23 October, 19:45

Galway United vs St Patrick's simulation probabilities
Galway United win19.4%
Draw23.9%
St Patrick's win56.7%
Most likely score1-1 (11.2%)
Expected goals0.98 – 1.84
Both teams to score52.8%
Over 1.5 goals77.6%
Over 2.5 goals53.4%
Over 3.5 goals31.4%
Galway United score first31.8%
St Patrick's score first61.5%
Galway United clean sheet16.3%
St Patrick's clean sheet37.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420498421
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Galway United vs St Patrick's prediction FAQs

Who will win Galway United vs St Patrick's?

St Patrick's are favourites. They win 56.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 19.4% for Galway United. Including the draw, St Patrick's avoid defeat 80.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Galway United vs St Patrick's?

1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.4%) and 0-2 (10%). The likeliest St Patrick's win is 0-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Galway United vs St Patrick's?

Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Galway United keep a clean sheet 16.3% of the time and St Patrick's 37.7%.

How many goals will there be in Galway United vs St Patrick's?

The simulations average 2.82 goals: 0.98 for Galway United and 1.84 for St Patrick's. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.4% and over 3.5 goals 31.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.