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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Ghana vs Somalia prediction

We simulated Ghana vs Somalia 100,000 times. Ghana won 88,892 of them (88.9%), the draw came up 8.5% of the time and Somalia won 2.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (16.2%), and both teams score in 26.3% of simulations.

Ghana badge
Ghana Accra Sports Stadium
Thursday 12 November
Somalia badge
Somalia Away
88.9% 88,892 wins
8.5% Draw
2.6% 2,635 wins
Expected goals
2.95 – 0.33
Likeliest score
2-0 16.2%
Both score
26.3%
Over 2.5
63%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
Ghana vs Somalia lineups, team news & head to head

Ghana vs Somalia in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Thursday 12 November, 15:00

Ghana vs Somalia simulation probabilities
Ghana win88.9%
Draw8.5%
Somalia win2.6%
Most likely score2-0 (16.2%)
Expected goals2.95 – 0.33
Both teams to score26.3%
Over 1.5 goals82.9%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41.4%
Ghana score first86.8%
Somalia score first9.6%
Ghana clean sheet71.9%
Somalia clean sheet5.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420728704
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Ghana vs Somalia prediction FAQs

Who will win Ghana vs Somalia?

Ghana are favourites. They win 88.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.5% for the draw and 2.6% for Somalia. Including the draw, Ghana avoid defeat 97.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Ghana vs Somalia?

2-0, which came up in 16.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (15.6%) and 1-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Ghana vs Somalia?

Both teams score in 26.3% of simulations. Ghana keep a clean sheet 71.9% of the time and Somalia 5.7%.

How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Somalia?

The simulations average 3.28 goals: 2.95 for Ghana and 0.33 for Somalia. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63% and over 3.5 goals 41.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.