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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Gilla vs LoPa 100,000 times. Gilla won 68,919 of them (68.9%), the draw came up 16.2% of the time and LoPa won 14.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (7.8%), and both teams score in 70.6% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Gilla winning 68.9% and gave this exact score 4.2%.
| Gilla win | 68.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.2% |
| LoPa win | 14.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (7.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.96 – 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 70.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 62.3% |
| Gilla score first | 71.9% |
| LoPa score first | 26.2% |
| Gilla clean sheet | 25.8% |
| LoPa clean sheet | 5.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420549517 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gilla are favourites. They win 68.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.2% for the draw and 14.9% for LoPa. Including the draw, Gilla avoid defeat 85.1% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 7.8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.6%) and 1-1 (5.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.6% of simulations. Gilla keep a clean sheet 25.8% of the time and LoPa 5.6%.
The simulations average 4.33 goals: 2.96 for Gilla and 1.37 for LoPa. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 80.1% and over 3.5 goals 62.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.