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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Gnistan vs VPS 100,000 times. Gnistan won 50,713 of them (50.7%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and VPS won 26.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Gnistan win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.
| Gnistan win | 50.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| VPS win | 26.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.83 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.2% |
| Gnistan score first | 57.2% |
| VPS score first | 37.7% |
| Gnistan clean sheet | 28.9% |
| VPS clean sheet | 16.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709397 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gnistan are favourites. They win 50.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 26.2% for VPS. Including the draw, Gnistan avoid defeat 73.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. Gnistan keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and VPS 16.5%.
The simulations average 3.09 goals: 1.83 for Gnistan and 1.25 for VPS. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.3% and over 3.5 goals 37.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
