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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Gnistan W vs Ilves W 100,000 times. Ilves W won 47,372 of them (47.4%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Gnistan W won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Ilves W win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 67% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Ilves W winning 47.4% and gave this exact score 3.9%.
| Gnistan W win | 29.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Ilves W win | 47.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.96 |
| Both teams to score | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.5% |
| Gnistan W score first | 41.9% |
| Ilves W score first | 54% |
| Gnistan W clean sheet | 14.5% |
| Ilves W clean sheet | 22.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420615718 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ilves W are favourites. They win 47.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 29.4% for Gnistan W. Including the draw, Ilves W avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Ilves W win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67% of simulations. Gnistan W keep a clean sheet 14.5% of the time and Ilves W 22.5%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 1.51 for Gnistan W and 1.96 for Ilves W. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67% and over 3.5 goals 45.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.