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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Gorica vs Slaven Koprivnica 100,000 times. Gorica won 43,515 of them (43.5%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Slaven Koprivnica won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Gorica win is 1-0 (9.5%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
Full time 3-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Slaven Koprivnica winning 29.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Gorica win | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Slaven Koprivnica win | 29.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.49 – 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.2% |
| Gorica score first | 50.9% |
| Slaven Koprivnica score first | 41.4% |
| Gorica clean sheet | 30.9% |
| Slaven Koprivnica clean sheet | 22.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420598491 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gorica are favourites. They win 43.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 29.4% for Slaven Koprivnica. Including the draw, Gorica avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Gorica win is 1-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Gorica keep a clean sheet 30.9% of the time and Slaven Koprivnica 22.8%.
The simulations average 2.68 goals: 1.49 for Gorica and 1.18 for Slaven Koprivnica. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.9% and over 3.5 goals 28.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.