NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
6 Nov 2026
🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
NEW
Introducing The Pulse Feature For Insights
6 Nov 2026
It lives at the top of the fixture feed and will show you all of the interesting data it has found across the many tools and metrics on Odd…
OFFER
Leave A Review For A Chance To Win £50!
5 Nov 2026
This fall, four OA users will win £50 Amazon vouchers. All you need to do is leave an honest review for OddAlerts that will help any potent…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias 100,000 times. Duque de Caxias won 36,783 of them (36.8%), the draw came up 33.6% of the time and Goytacaz won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.6%, while the likeliest Duque de Caxias win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Goytacaz winning 29.6% and gave this exact score 6.9%.
| Goytacaz win | 29.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 33.6% |
| Duque de Caxias win | 36.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.4% |
| Goytacaz score first | 42.2% |
| Duque de Caxias score first | 44.4% |
| Goytacaz clean sheet | 30.4% |
| Duque de Caxias clean sheet | 35.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687379 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Duque de Caxias are favourites. They win 36.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.6% for the draw and 29.6% for Goytacaz. Including the draw, Duque de Caxias avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.3%) and 0-1 (10%). The likeliest Duque de Caxias win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. Goytacaz keep a clean sheet 30.4% of the time and Duque de Caxias 35.1%.
The simulations average 2.26 goals: 1.06 for Goytacaz and 1.20 for Duque de Caxias. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.3% and over 3.5 goals 19.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.