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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir 100,000 times. Göztepe won 50,542 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and İstanbul Başakşehir won 24.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Göztepe win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 59.9% of simulations.
| Göztepe win | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir win | 24.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 59.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| Göztepe score first | 54.6% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir score first | 40% |
| Göztepe clean sheet | 29.5% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir clean sheet | 16.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643213 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Göztepe are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 24.9% for İstanbul Başakşehir. Including the draw, Göztepe avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Göztepe win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.9% of simulations. Göztepe keep a clean sheet 29.5% of the time and İstanbul Başakşehir 16.3%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.84 for Göztepe and 1.23 for İstanbul Başakşehir. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.