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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Grasshopper vs Vaduz 100,000 times. Grasshopper won 42,326 of them (42.3%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Vaduz won 34.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.2%, while the likeliest Grasshopper win is 2-1 (8.1%). Both teams score in 71.3% of simulations.
| Grasshopper win | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Vaduz win | 34.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.96 – 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 71.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.7% |
| Grasshopper score first | 51.4% |
| Vaduz score first | 45.2% |
| Grasshopper clean sheet | 17.7% |
| Vaduz clean sheet | 14.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420590786 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grasshopper are favourites. They win 42.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 34.6% for Vaduz. Including the draw, Grasshopper avoid defeat 65.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.1%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Grasshopper win is 2-1 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 71.3% of simulations. Grasshopper keep a clean sheet 17.7% of the time and Vaduz 14.6%.
The simulations average 3.72 goals: 1.96 for Grasshopper and 1.76 for Vaduz. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.3% and over 3.5 goals 50.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.