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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Greece U21 vs Latvia U21 100,000 times. Greece U21 won 91,351 of them (91.4%), the draw came up 6.3% of the time and Latvia U21 won 2.4%. The most likely score is 3-0 (13.6%), and both teams score in 34.3% of simulations.
Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Greece U21 winning 91.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Greece U21 win | 91.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.3% |
| Latvia U21 win | 2.4% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 3.51 – 0.44 |
| Both teams to score | 34.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.2% |
| Greece U21 score first | 87.8% |
| Latvia U21 score first | 10.4% |
| Greece U21 clean sheet | 64.4% |
| Latvia U21 clean sheet | 3.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/314882470 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Greece U21 are favourites. They win 91.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.3% for the draw and 2.4% for Latvia U21. Including the draw, Greece U21 avoid defeat 97.6% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.9%) and 4-0 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 34.3% of simulations. Greece U21 keep a clean sheet 64.4% of the time and Latvia U21 3.3%.
The simulations average 3.95 goals: 3.51 for Greece U21 and 0.44 for Latvia U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.7% and over 3.5 goals 55.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.