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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Grimsby Town vs Nottingham Forest U21 100,000 times. Grimsby Town won 66,638 of them (66.6%), the draw came up 17.5% of the time and Nottingham Forest U21 won 15.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.6%), and both teams score in 66.5% of simulations.
| Grimsby Town win | 66.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.5% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 win | 15.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.67 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 66.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Grimsby Town score first | 67.3% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 score first | 30.1% |
| Grimsby Town clean sheet | 28.7% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 clean sheet | 7.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657212 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grimsby Town are favourites. They win 66.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.5% for the draw and 15.9% for Nottingham Forest U21. Including the draw, Grimsby Town avoid defeat 84.2% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.6% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.6%) and 1-1 (7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.5% of simulations. Grimsby Town keep a clean sheet 28.7% of the time and Nottingham Forest U21 7.3%.
The simulations average 3.94 goals: 2.67 for Grimsby Town and 1.26 for Nottingham Forest U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.7% and over 3.5 goals 55.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.