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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Grobiņa vs Riga 100,000 times. Riga won 77,836 of them (77.8%), the draw came up 14% of the time and Grobiņa won 8.2%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.7%), and both teams score in 45% of simulations.
Full time 2-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Riga winning 77.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Grobiņa win | 8.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14% |
| Riga win | 77.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.68 – 2.57 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.7% |
| Grobiņa score first | 23.1% |
| Riga score first | 73.2% |
| Grobiņa clean sheet | 8.1% |
| Riga clean sheet | 50.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519537 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Riga are favourites. They win 77.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14% for the draw and 8.2% for Grobiņa. Including the draw, Riga avoid defeat 91.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (10.8%) and 0-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Grobiņa keep a clean sheet 8.1% of the time and Riga 50.8%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 0.68 for Grobiņa and 2.57 for Riga. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.6% and over 3.5 goals 40.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.