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We simulated Grorud vs Moss 100,000 times. Moss won 40,369 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Grorud won 36%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Moss win is 1-2 (8.2%). Both teams score in 67.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.6% and gave this exact score 10%.
| Grorud win | 36% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Moss win | 40.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 67.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.2% |
| Grorud score first | 44.1% |
| Moss score first | 51.7% |
| Grorud clean sheet | 17.3% |
| Moss clean sheet | 19.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687097 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Moss are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 36% for Grorud. Including the draw, Moss avoid defeat 64% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Moss win is 1-2 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.5% of simulations. Grorud keep a clean sheet 17.3% of the time and Moss 19.2%.
The simulations average 3.45 goals: 1.67 for Grorud and 1.78 for Moss. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.7% and over 3.5 goals 45.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.