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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Guadalajara vs Real Madrid II 100,000 times. Real Madrid II won 50,413 of them (50.4%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Guadalajara won 26%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Real Madrid II win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.6% and gave this exact score 5.7%.
| Guadalajara win | 26% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Real Madrid II win | 50.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.9% |
| Guadalajara score first | 40.9% |
| Real Madrid II score first | 53.2% |
| Guadalajara clean sheet | 17.4% |
| Real Madrid II clean sheet | 30.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/378352073 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Madrid II are favourites. They win 50.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 26% for Guadalajara. Including the draw, Real Madrid II avoid defeat 74% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Real Madrid II win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations. Guadalajara keep a clean sheet 17.4% of the time and Real Madrid II 30.3%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 1.21 for Guadalajara and 1.78 for Real Madrid II. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57% and over 3.5 goals 34.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.