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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W 100,000 times. Guadalajara W won 97,024 of them (97%), the draw came up 2.4% of the time and Necaxa W won 0.5%. The most likely score is 4-0 (13.3%), and both teams score in 26.8% of simulations.
Full time 7-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Guadalajara W winning 97% and gave this exact score 6.6%.
| Guadalajara W win | 97% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 2.4% |
| Necaxa W win | 0.5% |
| Most likely score | 4-0 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 4.68 – 0.32 |
| Both teams to score | 26.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 72.1% |
| Guadalajara W score first | 92.3% |
| Necaxa W score first | 7% |
| Guadalajara W clean sheet | 72.9% |
| Necaxa W clean sheet | 1.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599505 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Guadalajara W are favourites. They win 97% of our 100,000 simulations, against 2.4% for the draw and 0.5% for Necaxa W. Including the draw, Guadalajara W avoid defeat 99.5% of the time.
4-0, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 5-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 26.8% of simulations. Guadalajara W keep a clean sheet 72.9% of the time and Necaxa W 1.1%.
The simulations average 5.00 goals: 4.68 for Guadalajara W and 0.32 for Necaxa W. Over 1.5 goals lands 95.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 86.4% and over 3.5 goals 72.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.