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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai 100,000 times. Guangxi Hengchen won 66,650 of them (66.7%), the draw came up 20.1% of the time and Changchun Yatai won 13.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.8%), and both teams score in 49.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 20.1% and gave this exact score 3.9%.
| Guangxi Hengchen win | 66.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Changchun Yatai win | 13.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.12 – 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 49.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% |
| Guangxi Hengchen score first | 69% |
| Changchun Yatai score first | 25.4% |
| Guangxi Hengchen clean sheet | 44.2% |
| Changchun Yatai clean sheet | 12.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527396 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Guangxi Hengchen are favourites. They win 66.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.1% for the draw and 13.3% for Changchun Yatai. Including the draw, Guangxi Hengchen avoid defeat 86.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.2% of simulations. Guangxi Hengchen keep a clean sheet 44.2% of the time and Changchun Yatai 12.4%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 2.12 for Guangxi Hengchen and 0.82 for Changchun Yatai. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56% and over 3.5 goals 33.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.