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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Güemes vs Almagro 100,000 times. Almagro won 58,304 of them (58.3%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Güemes won 15.5%. The most likely score is 0-1 (17.8%), and both teams score in 35.8% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Güemes winning 15.5% and gave this exact score 3.5%.
| Güemes win | 15.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Almagro win | 58.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (17.8%) |
| Expected goals | 0.62 – 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 35.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.8% |
| Güemes score first | 27.7% |
| Almagro score first | 59.9% |
| Güemes clean sheet | 22.7% |
| Almagro clean sheet | 53.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503081 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Almagro are favourites. They win 58.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 15.5% for Güemes. Including the draw, Almagro avoid defeat 84.5% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 17.8% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (13.3%) and 0-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.8% of simulations. Güemes keep a clean sheet 22.7% of the time and Almagro 53.7%.
The simulations average 2.13 goals: 0.62 for Güemes and 1.50 for Almagro. Over 1.5 goals lands 62.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.7% and over 3.5 goals 16.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.