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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Guria vs WIT Georgia 100,000 times. Guria won 78,548 of them (78.6%), the draw came up 13.7% of the time and WIT Georgia won 7.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.4%), and both teams score in 45.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Guria winning 78.6% and gave this exact score 9.8%.
| Guria win | 78.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.7% |
| WIT Georgia win | 7.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.64 – 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 45.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.5% |
| Guria score first | 78.6% |
| WIT Georgia score first | 17.7% |
| Guria clean sheet | 50.3% |
| WIT Georgia clean sheet | 7.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420517996 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Guria are favourites. They win 78.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.7% for the draw and 7.8% for WIT Georgia. Including the draw, Guria avoid defeat 92.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.8%) and 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.8% of simulations. Guria keep a clean sheet 50.3% of the time and WIT Georgia 7.5%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 2.64 for Guria and 0.69 for WIT Georgia. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.2% and over 3.5 goals 42.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.