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Challenge Cup · 100,000 simulations

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers prediction

We simulated Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers 100,000 times. Raith Rovers won 41,133 of them (41.1%), the draw came up 28.3% of the time and Hamilton Academical won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Raith Rovers win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations.

Hamilton Academical badge
Hamilton Academical New Douglas Park
1–1 Full time
Raith Rovers badge
Raith Rovers Away
30.6% 30,558 wins
28.3% Draw
41.1% 41,133 wins
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.50
Likeliest score
1-1 13.3% Top Raith Rovers win: 1-2 8.8%
Both score
56.6%
Over 2.5
51.9%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 28.3% and gave this exact score 13.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated S. Murdoch New Douglas Park, Hamilton
Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers live score, stats & lineups

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers in numbers 100,000 simulations · Challenge Cup · Tuesday 3 November, 19:45

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers simulation probabilities
Hamilton Academical win30.6%
Draw28.3%
Raith Rovers win41.1%
Most likely score1-1 (13.3%)
Expected goals1.26 – 1.50
Both teams to score56.6%
Over 1.5 goals77.4%
Over 2.5 goals51.9%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Hamilton Academical score first42.5%
Raith Rovers score first49.5%
Hamilton Academical clean sheet22.8%
Raith Rovers clean sheet28.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420736616
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers prediction FAQs

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

Raith Rovers are favourites. They win 41.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.3% for the draw and 30.6% for Hamilton Academical. Including the draw, Raith Rovers avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations. Hamilton Academical keep a clean sheet 22.8% of the time and Raith Rovers 28.7%.

How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.26 for Hamilton Academical and 1.50 for Raith Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.9% and over 3.5 goals 30%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.