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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated HB Køge vs Aalborg BK 100,000 times. Aalborg BK won 43,537 of them (43.5%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and HB Køge won 32.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Aalborg BK win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24.2% and gave this exact score 10.9%.
| HB Køge win | 32.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Aalborg BK win | 43.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.1% |
| HB Køge score first | 40.2% |
| Aalborg BK score first | 55% |
| HB Køge clean sheet | 18.3% |
| Aalborg BK clean sheet | 23.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420585161 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aalborg BK are favourites. They win 43.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 32.3% for HB Køge. Including the draw, Aalborg BK avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations. HB Køge keep a clean sheet 18.3% of the time and Aalborg BK 23.8%.
The simulations average 3.17 goals: 1.45 for HB Køge and 1.72 for Aalborg BK. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.2% and over 3.5 goals 39.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.