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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hegelmann II vs Tauras 100,000 times. Tauras won 49,635 of them (49.6%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Hegelmann II won 28.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest Tauras win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.
Full time 4-4. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 22%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Hegelmann II win | 28.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Tauras win | 49.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.8% |
| Hegelmann II score first | 37.8% |
| Tauras score first | 58.1% |
| Hegelmann II clean sheet | 15.7% |
| Tauras clean sheet | 25.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420569670 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tauras are favourites. They win 49.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 28.4% for Hegelmann II. Including the draw, Tauras avoid defeat 71.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Tauras win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Hegelmann II keep a clean sheet 15.7% of the time and Tauras 25.9%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 1.37 for Hegelmann II and 1.88 for Tauras. Over 1.5 goals lands 83% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.7% and over 3.5 goals 40.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.