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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan 100,000 times. Beijing Guoan won 40,082 of them (40.1%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Henan Songshan Longmen won 34%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Beijing Guoan win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Beijing Guoan winning 40.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Henan Songshan Longmen win | 34% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Beijing Guoan win | 40.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.1% |
| Henan Songshan Longmen score first | 47.6% |
| Beijing Guoan score first | 46.4% |
| Henan Songshan Longmen clean sheet | 20.8% |
| Beijing Guoan clean sheet | 23.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519272 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Beijing Guoan are favourites. They win 40.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 34% for Henan Songshan Longmen. Including the draw, Beijing Guoan avoid defeat 66% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations. Henan Songshan Longmen keep a clean sheet 20.8% of the time and Beijing Guoan 23.9%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.45 for Henan Songshan Longmen and 1.59 for Beijing Guoan. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.3% and over 3.5 goals 36.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.