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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Herrestads vs Kumla 100,000 times. Herrestads won 61,164 of them (61.2%), the draw came up 19.2% of the time and Kumla won 19.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Herrestads winning 61.2% and gave this exact score 9.6%.
| Herrestads win | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.2% |
| Kumla win | 19.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.15 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.4% |
| Herrestads score first | 64.6% |
| Kumla score first | 31.9% |
| Herrestads clean sheet | 32.9% |
| Kumla clean sheet | 12% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420537276 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Herrestads are favourites. They win 61.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.2% for the draw and 19.6% for Kumla. Including the draw, Herrestads avoid defeat 80.4% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Herrestads keep a clean sheet 32.9% of the time and Kumla 12%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 2.15 for Herrestads and 1.12 for Kumla. Over 1.5 goals lands 83% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.2% and over 3.5 goals 41.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.