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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg 100,000 times. Hertha BSC won 48,594 of them (48.6%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and VfL Wolfsburg won 27.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Hertha BSC win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 68.5% of simulations.
| Hertha BSC win | 48.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| VfL Wolfsburg win | 27.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.04 – 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 68.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.4% |
| Hertha BSC score first | 50.7% |
| VfL Wolfsburg score first | 45.1% |
| Hertha BSC clean sheet | 22.4% |
| VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet | 13.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420610091 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hertha BSC are favourites. They win 48.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 27.7% for VfL Wolfsburg. Including the draw, Hertha BSC avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Hertha BSC win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.5% of simulations. Hertha BSC keep a clean sheet 22.4% of the time and VfL Wolfsburg 13.4%.
The simulations average 3.56 goals: 2.04 for Hertha BSC and 1.52 for VfL Wolfsburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.6% and over 3.5 goals 47.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.