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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hibernians vs Birzebbuga 100,000 times. Hibernians won 51,920 of them (51.9%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Birzebbuga won 25.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11.2%), and both teams score in 52.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Hibernians winning 51.9% and gave this exact score 11.2%.
| Hibernians win | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Birzebbuga win | 25.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.3% |
| Hibernians score first | 58.2% |
| Birzebbuga score first | 36% |
| Hibernians clean sheet | 34.1% |
| Birzebbuga clean sheet | 18.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420639105 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hibernians are favourites. They win 51.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 25.2% for Birzebbuga. Including the draw, Hibernians avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.9% of simulations. Hibernians keep a clean sheet 34.1% of the time and Birzebbuga 18.9%.
The simulations average 2.77 goals: 1.69 for Hibernians and 1.09 for Birzebbuga. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.2% and over 3.5 goals 30.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.