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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Holstein Kiel vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld 100,000 times. Holstein Kiel won 43,092 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and DSC Arminia Bielefeld won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations.
| Holstein Kiel win | 43.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| DSC Arminia Bielefeld win | 29.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.3% |
| Holstein Kiel score first | 54.3% |
| DSC Arminia Bielefeld score first | 38% |
| Holstein Kiel clean sheet | 30% |
| DSC Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet | 22.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420610115 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Holstein Kiel are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 29.6% for DSC Arminia Bielefeld. Including the draw, Holstein Kiel avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations. Holstein Kiel keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and DSC Arminia Bielefeld 22.4%.
The simulations average 2.73 goals: 1.51 for Holstein Kiel and 1.22 for DSC Arminia Bielefeld. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.2% and over 3.5 goals 29.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.