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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hønefoss vs Junkeren 100,000 times. Hønefoss won 76,648 of them (76.7%), the draw came up 12.9% of the time and Junkeren won 10.4%. The most likely score is 3-1 (8%), and both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Hønefoss winning 76.7% and gave this exact score 8%.
| Hønefoss win | 76.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.9% |
| Junkeren win | 10.4% |
| Most likely score | 3-1 (8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.06 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.7% |
| Hønefoss score first | 70.7% |
| Junkeren score first | 27.7% |
| Hønefoss clean sheet | 34.6% |
| Junkeren clean sheet | 5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420545823 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hønefoss are favourites. They win 76.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.9% for the draw and 10.4% for Junkeren. Including the draw, Hønefoss avoid defeat 89.6% of the time.
3-1, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8%) and 3-0 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. Hønefoss keep a clean sheet 34.6% of the time and Junkeren 5%.
The simulations average 4.13 goals: 3.06 for Hønefoss and 1.07 for Junkeren. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.4% and over 3.5 goals 58.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.