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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Houston Dynamo FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II 100,000 times. Houston Dynamo FC II won 75,027 of them (75%), the draw came up 14.3% of the time and Sporting Kansas City II won 10.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (8.6%), and both teams score in 59.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Sporting Kansas City II winning 10.7%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Houston Dynamo FC II win | 75% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.3% |
| Sporting Kansas City II win | 10.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (8.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.86 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 59.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.5% |
| Houston Dynamo FC II score first | 77.2% |
| Sporting Kansas City II score first | 20.5% |
| Houston Dynamo FC II clean sheet | 36.9% |
| Sporting Kansas City II clean sheet | 6.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420513932 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Houston Dynamo FC II are favourites. They win 75% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.3% for the draw and 10.7% for Sporting Kansas City II. Including the draw, Houston Dynamo FC II avoid defeat 89.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 8.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 3-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.2% of simulations. Houston Dynamo FC II keep a clean sheet 36.9% of the time and Sporting Kansas City II 6.1%.
The simulations average 3.86 goals: 2.86 for Houston Dynamo FC II and 1.00 for Sporting Kansas City II. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.5% and over 3.5 goals 53.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.