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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ilves W vs HPS W 100,000 times. HPS W won 55,277 of them (55.3%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and Ilves W won 23.5%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.9%), and both teams score in 68.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-4. Before kick-off the simulations had HPS W winning 55.3% and gave this exact score 2.7%.
| Ilves W win | 23.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% |
| HPS W win | 55.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.43 – 2.26 |
| Both teams to score | 68.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.2% |
| Ilves W score first | 36.5% |
| HPS W score first | 60.2% |
| Ilves W clean sheet | 10.9% |
| HPS W clean sheet | 24.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420615720 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
HPS W are favourites. They win 55.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 23.5% for Ilves W. Including the draw, HPS W avoid defeat 76.5% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.7%) and 1-3 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.1% of simulations. Ilves W keep a clean sheet 10.9% of the time and HPS W 24.3%.
The simulations average 3.69 goals: 1.43 for Ilves W and 2.26 for HPS W. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.8% and over 3.5 goals 50.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.