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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Independiente Riva. Res. vs San Martín San Juan Res. 100,000 times. Independiente Riva. Res. won 68,699 of them (68.7%), the draw came up 17.8% of the time and San Martín San Juan Res. won 13.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Independiente Riva. Res. winning 68.7% and gave this exact score 3.5%.
| Independiente Riva. Res. win | 68.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.8% |
| San Martín San Juan Res. win | 13.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.37 – 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% |
| Independiente Riva. Res. score first | 69.5% |
| San Martín San Juan Res. score first | 26.6% |
| Independiente Riva. Res. clean sheet | 39.2% |
| San Martín San Juan Res. clean sheet | 9.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728266 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Independiente Riva. Res. are favourites. They win 68.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.8% for the draw and 13.5% for San Martín San Juan Res.. Including the draw, Independiente Riva. Res. avoid defeat 86.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55% of simulations. Independiente Riva. Res. keep a clean sheet 39.2% of the time and San Martín San Juan Res. 9.7%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 2.37 for Independiente Riva. Res. and 0.94 for San Martín San Juan Res.. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64% and over 3.5 goals 42.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.