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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated India vs Brazil 100,000 times. Brazil won 96,286 of them (96.3%), the draw came up 2.8% of the time and India won 0.9%. The most likely score is 0-4 (12.4%), and both teams score in 32.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Brazil winning 96.3% and gave this exact score 12.4%.
| India win | 0.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 2.8% |
| Brazil win | 96.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-4 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 0.40 – 4.58 |
| Both teams to score | 32.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 71.9% |
| India score first | 9.9% |
| Brazil score first | 89.4% |
| India clean sheet | 1.2% |
| Brazil clean sheet | 67.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420602130 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brazil are favourites. They win 96.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 2.8% for the draw and 0.9% for India. Including the draw, Brazil avoid defeat 99.1% of the time.
0-4, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 0-5 (11.3%) and 0-3 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 32.3% of simulations. India keep a clean sheet 1.2% of the time and Brazil 67.2%.
The simulations average 4.97 goals: 0.40 for India and 4.58 for Brazil. Over 1.5 goals lands 95.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 86.3% and over 3.5 goals 71.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.