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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha 100,000 times. Indy Eleven won 48,048 of them (48.1%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Union Omaha won 26.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Indy Eleven win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 58.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Union Omaha winning 26.6% and gave this exact score 6.7%.
| Indy Eleven win | 48.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Union Omaha win | 26.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.74 – 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 58.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.8% |
| Indy Eleven score first | 52.7% |
| Union Omaha score first | 41.1% |
| Indy Eleven clean sheet | 29.3% |
| Union Omaha clean sheet | 18% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420536112 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Indy Eleven are favourites. They win 48.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 26.6% for Union Omaha. Including the draw, Indy Eleven avoid defeat 73.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Indy Eleven win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.9% of simulations. Indy Eleven keep a clean sheet 29.3% of the time and Union Omaha 18%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 1.74 for Indy Eleven and 1.24 for Union Omaha. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.9% and over 3.5 goals 34.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.