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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Inverness CT vs Montrose 100,000 times. Inverness CT won 64,965 of them (65%), the draw came up 20.1% of the time and Montrose won 15%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.8%), and both teams score in 56.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Inverness CT winning 65% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Inverness CT win | 65% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Montrose win | 15% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.26 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.7% |
| Inverness CT score first | 63.5% |
| Montrose score first | 31.7% |
| Inverness CT clean sheet | 37.5% |
| Montrose clean sheet | 11% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420736619 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inverness CT are favourites. They win 65% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.1% for the draw and 15% for Montrose. Including the draw, Inverness CT avoid defeat 85% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations. Inverness CT keep a clean sheet 37.5% of the time and Montrose 11%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 2.26 for Inverness CT and 0.99 for Montrose. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.5% and over 3.5 goals 40.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.