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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Irtysh vs Astana 100,000 times. Astana won 45,397 of them (45.4%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Irtysh won 29.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Astana win is 0-1 (10.3%). Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Astana winning 45.4% and gave this exact score 10.3%.
| Irtysh win | 29.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Astana win | 45.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.17 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Irtysh score first | 40.1% |
| Astana score first | 52.8% |
| Irtysh clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Astana clean sheet | 31.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420521227 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Astana are favourites. They win 45.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 29.1% for Irtysh. Including the draw, Astana avoid defeat 71% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest Astana win is 0-1 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations. Irtysh keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Astana 31.5%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.17 for Irtysh and 1.53 for Astana. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.2% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.