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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Homs Al Fidaa 100,000 times. Istiqlol Dushanbe won 45,922 of them (45.9%), the draw came up 30.6% of the time and Homs Al Fidaa won 23.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.1%), and both teams score in 42.2% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Homs Al Fidaa winning 23.5% and gave this exact score 4.2%.
| Istiqlol Dushanbe win | 45.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.6% |
| Homs Al Fidaa win | 23.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 42.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.2% |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe score first | 50% |
| Homs Al Fidaa score first | 36.6% |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe clean sheet | 43.1% |
| Homs Al Fidaa clean sheet | 27.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420661035 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Istiqlol Dushanbe are favourites. They win 45.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.6% for the draw and 23.5% for Homs Al Fidaa. Including the draw, Istiqlol Dushanbe avoid defeat 76.5% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.7%) and 0-0 (13%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.2% of simulations. Istiqlol Dushanbe keep a clean sheet 43.1% of the time and Homs Al Fidaa 27.7%.
The simulations average 2.15 goals: 1.30 for Istiqlol Dushanbe and 0.85 for Homs Al Fidaa. Over 1.5 goals lands 64% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36.3% and over 3.5 goals 17.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.