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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković 100,000 times. Istra 1961 won 87,864 of them (87.9%), the draw came up 8.1% of the time and Neretva Metković won 4%. The most likely score is 3-0 (11.7%), and both teams score in 43.8% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Istra 1961 winning 87.9% and gave this exact score 11.7%.
| Istra 1961 win | 87.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 8.1% |
| Neretva Metković win | 4% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 3.37 – 0.61 |
| Both teams to score | 43.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.9% |
| Istra 1961 score first | 81.7% |
| Neretva Metković score first | 16.4% |
| Istra 1961 clean sheet | 54.3% |
| Neretva Metković clean sheet | 3.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710528 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Istra 1961 are favourites. They win 87.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.1% for the draw and 4% for Neretva Metković. Including the draw, Istra 1961 avoid defeat 96% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.6%) and 4-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.8% of simulations. Istra 1961 keep a clean sheet 54.3% of the time and Neretva Metković 3.8%.
The simulations average 3.98 goals: 3.37 for Istra 1961 and 0.61 for Neretva Metković. Over 1.5 goals lands 90% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.3% and over 3.5 goals 55.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.