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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Itabirito W vs América Mineiro W 100,000 times. América Mineiro W won 41,375 of them (41.4%), the draw came up 17.8% of the time and Itabirito W won 40.8%. No single score is common: 2-2 is the likeliest at 5.8%, while the likeliest América Mineiro W win is 2-3 (5.2%). Both teams score in 86.6% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Itabirito W winning 40.8% and gave this exact score 5.2%.
| Itabirito W win | 40.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.8% |
| América Mineiro W win | 41.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-2 (5.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.71 – 2.72 |
| Both teams to score | 86.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Itabirito W score first | 46.5% |
| América Mineiro W score first | 52.7% |
| Itabirito W clean sheet | 7% |
| América Mineiro W clean sheet | 7.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420659403 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
América Mineiro W are favourites. They win 41.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.8% for the draw and 40.8% for Itabirito W. Including the draw, América Mineiro W avoid defeat 59.2% of the time.
2-2, which came up in 5.8% of simulations. Next are 2-3 (5.2%) and 3-2 (5.2%). The likeliest América Mineiro W win is 2-3 (5.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 86.6% of simulations. Itabirito W keep a clean sheet 7% of the time and América Mineiro W 7.1%.
The simulations average 5.43 goals: 2.71 for Itabirito W and 2.72 for América Mineiro W. Over 1.5 goals lands 97.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 90.2% and over 3.5 goals 78.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.