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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Jalapa vs Diriangén 100,000 times. Diriangén won 47,750 of them (47.8%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Jalapa won 25.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Diriangén win is 0-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Diriangén winning 47.8% and gave this exact score 8.6%.
| Jalapa win | 25.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Diriangén win | 47.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.9% |
| Jalapa score first | 35.7% |
| Diriangén score first | 56.3% |
| Jalapa clean sheet | 20.5% |
| Diriangén clean sheet | 33.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420742089 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Diriangén are favourites. They win 47.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 25.1% for Jalapa. Including the draw, Diriangén avoid defeat 74.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest Diriangén win is 0-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Jalapa keep a clean sheet 20.5% of the time and Diriangén 33.5%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 1.10 for Jalapa and 1.61 for Diriangén. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.7% and over 3.5 goals 28.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.