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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Japan vs New Zealand 100,000 times. Japan won 79,724 of them (79.7%), the draw came up 12.9% of the time and New Zealand won 7.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.7%), and both teams score in 44.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Japan winning 79.7% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Japan win | 79.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.9% |
| New Zealand win | 7.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.66 – 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% |
| Japan score first | 77.8% |
| New Zealand score first | 18.7% |
| Japan clean sheet | 51.9% |
| New Zealand clean sheet | 7.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420729162 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Japan are favourites. They win 79.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.9% for the draw and 7.4% for New Zealand. Including the draw, Japan avoid defeat 92.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.2% of simulations. Japan keep a clean sheet 51.9% of the time and New Zealand 7.4%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 2.66 for Japan and 0.66 for New Zealand. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.