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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Japan vs Uruguay 100,000 times. Japan won 54,875 of them (54.9%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Uruguay won 20.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and both teams score in 47% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Japan winning 54.9% and gave this exact score 5.1%.
| Japan win | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Uruguay win | 20.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.9% |
| Japan score first | 57.5% |
| Uruguay score first | 34.2% |
| Japan clean sheet | 41.5% |
| Uruguay clean sheet | 19.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420604718 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Japan are favourites. They win 54.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 20.3% for Uruguay. Including the draw, Japan avoid defeat 79.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47% of simulations. Japan keep a clean sheet 41.5% of the time and Uruguay 19.8%.
The simulations average 2.52 goals: 1.64 for Japan and 0.89 for Uruguay. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.1% and over 3.5 goals 24.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.