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We simulated KA Akureyri vs ÍBV 100,000 times. KA Akureyri won 58,283 of them (58.3%), the draw came up 21% of the time and ÍBV won 20.7%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.
Full time 5-1. Before kick-off the simulations had KA Akureyri winning 58.3%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| KA Akureyri win | 58.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21% |
| ÍBV win | 20.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.8% |
| KA Akureyri score first | 60.2% |
| ÍBV score first | 35.6% |
| KA Akureyri clean sheet | 31.6% |
| ÍBV clean sheet | 12.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711675 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
KA Akureyri are favourites. They win 58.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21% for the draw and 20.7% for ÍBV. Including the draw, KA Akureyri avoid defeat 79.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. KA Akureyri keep a clean sheet 31.6% of the time and ÍBV 12.8%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.09 for KA Akureyri and 1.16 for ÍBV. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.7% and over 3.5 goals 40.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.