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We simulated KaaPo vs SalPa II 100,000 times. SalPa II won 42,963 of them (43%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and KaaPo won 35.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8%, while the likeliest SalPa II win is 1-2 (7.6%). Both teams score in 74.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 21.8% and gave this exact score 7.1%.
| KaaPo win | 35.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% |
| SalPa II win | 43% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.88 – 2.08 |
| Both teams to score | 74.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.6% |
| KaaPo score first | 51.3% |
| SalPa II score first | 46.1% |
| KaaPo clean sheet | 12.9% |
| SalPa II clean sheet | 15.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420549315 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SalPa II are favourites. They win 43% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 35.3% for KaaPo. Including the draw, SalPa II avoid defeat 64.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (7.6%) and 2-2 (7.1%). The likeliest SalPa II win is 1-2 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 74.1% of simulations. KaaPo keep a clean sheet 12.9% of the time and SalPa II 15.7%.
The simulations average 3.96 goals: 1.88 for KaaPo and 2.08 for SalPa II. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.2% and over 3.5 goals 55.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.