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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC 100,000 times. Hertha BSC won 37,785 of them (37.8%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Kaiserslautern won 35.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Hertha BSC win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
| Kaiserslautern win | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Hertha BSC win | 37.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.2% |
| Kaiserslautern score first | 45.4% |
| Hertha BSC score first | 47.8% |
| Kaiserslautern clean sheet | 22.7% |
| Hertha BSC clean sheet | 23.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420610035 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hertha BSC are favourites. They win 37.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 35.7% for Kaiserslautern. Including the draw, Hertha BSC avoid defeat 64.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Hertha BSC win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60% of simulations. Kaiserslautern keep a clean sheet 22.7% of the time and Hertha BSC 23.8%.
The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.45 for Kaiserslautern and 1.50 for Hertha BSC. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.