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CAF Confederations Cup · 100,000 simulations

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction

We simulated Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows 100,000 times. Kaizer Chiefs won 70,911 of them (70.9%), the draw came up 19.4% of the time and Red Arrows won 9.7%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.5%), and both teams score in 33.3% of simulations.

Kaizer Chiefs badge
Kaizer Chiefs Moses Mabhida Stadium
1–0 Full time
Red Arrows badge
Red Arrows Away
70.9% 70,911 wins
19.4% Draw
9.7% 9,728 wins
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.51
Likeliest score
1-0 17.5%
Both score
33.3%
Over 2.5
43.2%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Kaizer Chiefs winning 70.9% and gave this exact score 17.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Moses Mabhida Stadium, South Africa
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows live score, stats & lineups

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows in numbers 100,000 simulations · CAF Confederations Cup · Friday 23 October, 17:00

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows simulation probabilities
Kaizer Chiefs win70.9%
Draw19.4%
Red Arrows win9.7%
Most likely score1-0 (17.5%)
Expected goals1.90 – 0.51
Both teams to score33.3%
Over 1.5 goals68.6%
Over 2.5 goals43.2%
Over 3.5 goals22.5%
Kaizer Chiefs score first72.2%
Red Arrows score first18.9%
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet60.1%
Red Arrows clean sheet15.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420719879
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction FAQs

Who will win Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?

Kaizer Chiefs are favourites. They win 70.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.4% for the draw and 9.7% for Red Arrows. Including the draw, Kaizer Chiefs avoid defeat 90.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?

1-0, which came up in 17.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (16%) and 3-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?

Both teams score in 33.3% of simulations. Kaizer Chiefs keep a clean sheet 60.1% of the time and Red Arrows 15.4%.

How many goals will there be in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?

The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.90 for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.51 for Red Arrows. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.2% and over 3.5 goals 22.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.