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We simulated Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows 100,000 times. Kaizer Chiefs won 70,911 of them (70.9%), the draw came up 19.4% of the time and Red Arrows won 9.7%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.5%), and both teams score in 33.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Kaizer Chiefs winning 70.9% and gave this exact score 17.5%.
| Kaizer Chiefs win | 70.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.4% |
| Red Arrows win | 9.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (17.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 0.51 |
| Both teams to score | 33.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.5% |
| Kaizer Chiefs score first | 72.2% |
| Red Arrows score first | 18.9% |
| Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet | 60.1% |
| Red Arrows clean sheet | 15.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420719879 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kaizer Chiefs are favourites. They win 70.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.4% for the draw and 9.7% for Red Arrows. Including the draw, Kaizer Chiefs avoid defeat 90.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 17.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (16%) and 3-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 33.3% of simulations. Kaizer Chiefs keep a clean sheet 60.1% of the time and Red Arrows 15.4%.
The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.90 for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.51 for Red Arrows. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.2% and over 3.5 goals 22.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.