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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK 100,000 times. Grazer AK won 86,103 of them (86.1%), the draw came up 9.2% of the time and Kalsdorf won 4.7%. The most likely score is 0-3 (10.5%), and both teams score in 49.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Grazer AK winning 86.1% and gave this exact score 4.3%.
| Kalsdorf win | 4.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 9.2% |
| Grazer AK win | 86.1% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.72 – 3.39 |
| Both teams to score | 49.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.3% |
| Kalsdorf score first | 18.4% |
| Grazer AK score first | 79.8% |
| Kalsdorf clean sheet | 3.7% |
| Grazer AK clean sheet | 48.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725494 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grazer AK are favourites. They win 86.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.2% for the draw and 4.7% for Kalsdorf. Including the draw, Grazer AK avoid defeat 95.3% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (9.5%) and 0-4 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.4% of simulations. Kalsdorf keep a clean sheet 3.7% of the time and Grazer AK 48.8%.
The simulations average 4.11 goals: 0.72 for Kalsdorf and 3.39 for Grazer AK. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.1% and over 3.5 goals 58.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.