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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq 100,000 times. Kapaz won 90,399 of them (90.4%), the draw came up 6.5% of the time and Baku Sportinq won 3.1%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 47.5% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Kapaz winning 90.4% and gave this exact score 6.8%.
| Kapaz win | 90.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.5% |
| Baku Sportinq win | 3.1% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 3.87 – 0.67 |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 65.6% |
| Kapaz score first | 83.9% |
| Baku Sportinq score first | 15% |
| Kapaz clean sheet | 51.3% |
| Baku Sportinq clean sheet | 2.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733187 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kapaz are favourites. They win 90.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.5% for the draw and 3.1% for Baku Sportinq. Including the draw, Kapaz avoid defeat 96.9% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.5% of simulations. Kapaz keep a clean sheet 51.3% of the time and Baku Sportinq 2.4%.
The simulations average 4.54 goals: 3.87 for Kapaz and 0.67 for Baku Sportinq. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 82.2% and over 3.5 goals 65.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.