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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim 100,000 times. FC Heidenheim won 41,178 of them (41.2%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Karlsruher SC won 33.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest FC Heidenheim win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 65.5% of simulations.
| Karlsruher SC win | 33.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| FC Heidenheim win | 41.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.74 |
| Both teams to score | 65.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.5% |
| Karlsruher SC score first | 50.5% |
| FC Heidenheim score first | 44.5% |
| Karlsruher SC clean sheet | 18.1% |
| FC Heidenheim clean sheet | 21.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420610073 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Heidenheim are favourites. They win 41.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 33.4% for Karlsruher SC. Including the draw, FC Heidenheim avoid defeat 66.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest FC Heidenheim win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.5% of simulations. Karlsruher SC keep a clean sheet 18.1% of the time and FC Heidenheim 21.7%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 1.55 for Karlsruher SC and 1.74 for FC Heidenheim. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.4% and over 3.5 goals 41.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.