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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Karlsruher SC vs SGV Freiberg 100,000 times. Karlsruher SC won 83,992 of them (84%), the draw came up 9.3% of the time and SGV Freiberg won 6.7%. The most likely score is 3-0 (7.6%), and both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.
Full time 4-4. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 9.3%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Karlsruher SC win | 84% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 9.3% |
| SGV Freiberg win | 6.7% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (7.6%) |
| Expected goals | 3.63 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 67.4% |
| Karlsruher SC score first | 75.4% |
| SGV Freiberg score first | 23.8% |
| Karlsruher SC clean sheet | 36.8% |
| SGV Freiberg clean sheet | 2.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420568155 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Karlsruher SC are favourites. They win 84% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.3% for the draw and 6.7% for SGV Freiberg. Including the draw, Karlsruher SC avoid defeat 93.3% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 7.6% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.6%) and 4-0 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Karlsruher SC keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and SGV Freiberg 2.9%.
The simulations average 4.64 goals: 3.63 for Karlsruher SC and 1.01 for SGV Freiberg. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 83.4% and over 3.5 goals 67.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.